Neo-Philistine regions constitute neither Somalia, nor Afghanistan or Iraq considering the relatively minor size of this land. Neo-Philistine rejectionists have tried many times in prior decades to launch guerilla warfare from within Neo-Philistine regions without having access to external supply routes, yet have failed completely and repeatedly every time they so tried. If and when the two Neo-Philistine rejectionist regimes hypothetically were to decide to join a Jordanian-led royal federal Amistan (whether actively or passively so), they would be extremely unlikely to do so out of desire for enduring peace with liberal-democratic Israel and certainly not out of acceptance of sovereign-indigenous Jewish self-determination, but simply pragmatically because the remaining alternative is tantamount to political suicide as the rejectionist camp certainly has a lot to lose. Yet, were Ramallah and Gaza City to ultimately not join the Amistani peace train, this would not be a political disaster – other than of course for that imperialist rejectionist camp.
The new political geography would make it particularly easy for the Jordanian Armed Forces (JAF) if need be to temporarily close off a particular Neo-Philistine Amian region in the event of a serious insurgency against JAF forces. Furthermore, Neo-Philistine regions would in absence of active and effectively unified accession to Amman by Ramallah and Gaza City, each become a distinctive Amistani federal subject with its own particular political evolution on the path towards open society, political freedom and representative government. JAF is distinctly capable of ensuring pacification of Neo-Philistine Amian regions in less than a week of military operations and would certainly be fully capable of and fully willing to prevent any kind of cross-border attacks as JAF in fact already does and very professionally & effectively so.
Both Ramallah and Gaza City know perfectly well that they would not stand even a remote chance of winning militarily against Amman and/or Jerusalem in guerilla warfare in Neo-Philistine regions and hence the rejectionist camp is looking for a formula which they still hope would enable them to somehow continue to perpetuate the conflict through further strategic anachronisms and/or possibly otherwise. While their rejection of sovereign-indigenous Jewish self-determination is sincere and lasting, this does not necessarily imply that they would ultimately choose to effectively commit political suicide rather than either actively or passively joining a new Jordanian-led federal Amistan.
While the present Syrian administration remains severely internally divided, one distinctive strategic option would be to implement a synchronized broader regional partition between Amman and Jerusalem subsequent to ultimate political changes inside Syria. This means that Israel, Iraq, Judea/Samaria and Syrian-influenced Grand Liban would all be simultaneously partitioned together with Syria by Amman & Jerusalem following further substantial changes of mind within Syria’s economic/political elite.
Peace & democracy across the region is certainly possible through Amian/Jewish mutually conclusive & region-wide partition/unification and is certainly realistically within political reach. However, the international community needs to officially change course so as not further – whether directly or indirectly – encourage the discourse of destabilizing anachronistic conflict perpetuation. Yet, conclusive resolution to conflicts across the region through optimized bilateral Amian/Jewish partition and federal unification need preferably be implemented with significant official international diplomatic support, bearing in mind that this would also considerably lessen the risk for any kind of bloodshed in the transition.
The emerging ethnic political disintegration inside Iraq certainly also strongly indicates the need for a federal Amistani framework in the region in which the distinct ethnic groups of Twelver Shia Amians & Sunni Amians of both Iraq and Grand Liban would indeed have their own Amistani federal subjects where they would each constitute vast regional majorities among human citizens. Regional partition & federal Amistani national unification would also crucially contribute towards ending perpetuation of hereditary refugee status since members of ex-refugee residential communities in united Amistan would be guaranteed Amistani citizenship and would therefore be free to work in any purely civilian profession and reside anywhere they please throughout federal Amistan without any restrictions, including if they so prefer in Neo-Philistine Amistani federal subjects.
Region-wide partition between Amman and Jerusalem would bring national and regional federal unification to both Jews/Crypto-Jews & Amians and would thus strongly serve to further isolate Iran’s military-clerical tyranny while bringing further, very strong territorial military options to the table. This is particularly strategically important since Iran’s western, eastern and southern borders are for the most part populated by Amians and Crypto-Jewish ethnicities only waiting to be liberated from an evil tyranny. While Hewlêr (Kurdistan) and Jerusalem are long since strategically & militarily integrated; region-wide partition and region-wide federal unification for both the Jewish nation and the Amian nation would as a matter of fact create significant joint military options vis-à-vis Teheran for the two close allies that would be federal Israel & federal Amistan. Furthermore, conclusive region-wide Amian/Jewish partition/unification through the ultimate two-state solution would probably be very helpful in deterring Teheran to end its nuclear weapons’ program.
The timing of this synchronized regional change would thus be dependent upon domestic developments inside Syria which is increasingly descending into a state of internal ethnic warfare between the 60% Sunni Amian majority and a post-totalitarian, yet still highly authoritarian & repressive Syrian regime supported mainly from within four Crypto-Jewish ethno-religious minorities (Alawis, Arameans, Druze and Ismailis) who together with the Crypto-Jewish Kurdish-speaking ethnic minorities in Southwestern Kurdistan (including Alevis and Yezids) constitute a 40% strong Crypto-Jewish minority inside Syria, mostly living in minority majority regions/areas. Incidentally, this approximate 40/60 demographic ratio of Crypto-Jews versus Amians in Syria exists as well in Yemen and in the politically Syrian-influenced Grand Liban.
The remaining, yet still very influential economic rejectionists within the Syrian state apparatus belong to different ethnic groups (including ethnic Sunni Amians) and exercise control over those sections of Syria’s intelligence community that are still closely aligned with and even to some extent controlled by Teheran. This increasingly shrinking anti-democracy camp in Syria’s intelligence community is closely integrated through family ties, economic ties and otherwise with prominent members of Syria’s business community who tend to assess that they have very much to lose economically & civically from political change in Syria and not least so since they have economically strongly benefitted from the Syrian dictatorship and often so in ways not necessarily entirely consistent with Syrian legislation.
The international political challenge in Syria is therefore to provide a relatively wide array of global financial solutions & services and even foreign passports under new identities, all of which would serve to allay fears among Syria’s business community while protecting their local investments, including through overseas intermediaries. Rather, there is no doubt that mutual Amian/Jewish national partition/unification throughout the region would provide significant new economic opportunities by removing unnecessary obstacles to trade and investment. Not only would new Israeli federal subjects very likely soon turn into emerging economic tigers, but so could also Amistani federal subjects. Jewish national unification & Amian national unification throughout the region would thus provide significant new economic opportunities in which Syria’s business community could play a pivotal role in promoting enhanced economic integration within and between federal Israel & federal Amistan.
Political change in Syria hence needs to be paradigmatically transformed from economic risk factor & fear of external competition – into regional economic opportunity. Foreign diplomats stationed in Damascus therefore need to take on a rather novel role in providing foreign passports to the Syrian economic elite and reaching out so as to advocate for the very substantial economic benefits of change, partition and unification to Syria’s influential economic elite while providing innovative, global financial solutions/services and very credible, binding treaty assurances of conclusive regional partition that would serve to effectively assuage their economic & civic fears, whether indeed these concerns are warranted or not.
While the international community has applied many sticks to Syria, it is becoming increasingly imperative to discreetly offer carrots as well as a kind of personalized free political insurance policy. Consistent region-wide partition/unification would also serve to assuage fears of restored Sunni Amian ethno-religious supremacy over ethnically majority Crypto-Jewish regions, a distinctive political concern that is strongly prevalent among the mostly Crypto-Jewish indigenous ethnic minority populations in Syria and especially so for those who live as local minorities in Damascus and elsewhere in predominantly rural or urban Amian regions/areas.
There could potentially also be a political role for the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood to play on the level of Amistani federal subjects provided that the Ikhwan makes sure to become & remain politically entirely loyal to Amman’s royal family and its federal policies. The region is increasingly ripe for partition between Amman & Jerusalem as region-wide mutual partition/unification would very much serve to effectively dispel the prevalent imperialist-rejectionist Arabist/Islamist big lie that Israeli Jews are somehow intrinsic foreigners to this region by some kind of mystical racial essence. Of course, the historical & present rejectionist negation of Israel does strategically depend on this big lie which conclusive regional partition/unification would serve to in effect make disreputable.
Yet, if significant further numbers within Syria’s top elite demographics can be effectively persuaded as to the dynamic economic benefits of political change, regional partition and mutual national unification, then this region-wide partition could potentially become entirely peaceful and implemented solely through diplomatic agreements. Change, partition and national unification would create a strong, positive regional dynamics which would quite effectively serve to supplant the various conflicts throughout region (and it is not just one), while significantly serve to weaken and deter Teheran. Partition in Syria & Grand Liban is essentially assured if the Bashar administration falls from power as Crypto-Jewish leaders of Syria & Grand Liban would in that case be fully united in implementation of partition. Yet, conclusive partition should preferably happen through diplomatic agreement rather than through further descent into civil war in Syria. Peaceful, diplomatic partition in Syria would significantly facilitate the prospects for peaceful partition in the strongly Syrian-influenced Grand Liban as well and hence crucially give rise to a free Aramean state as part of the new federal Israel, although a free Aram could otherwise in part be the outcome of very brief armed conflict.
This is indeed an historical opportunity to strategically opt for regional peace & enhanced regional economic integration while politically undoing conflicts across the region as the distinctive development of regional peace through region-wide Amian/Jewish partition/unification. This would also help facilitate entirely peaceful further federal Israeli national unification with both predominantly Crypto-Jewish Northern Kurdistan and predominantly Crypto-Jewish Turkey, a unified Israeli federal arrangement in which Turkey would obviously constitute a very important part.
The desire & impulse once provided with the distinctive collective political & economic opportunity to seriously become part of that Near Eastern success story which is liberal-democratic, sovereign-indigenous Israel, is particularly strategically important for mostly Israel-identified Crypto-Jewish peoples across the broader region. Similarly to accession to the European Union, the process from union with Israel to accession to federal Israel will become a very significant political magnet & indeed economic incentive for deep democratization across the broader region. This will likely also have very significant dynamic political effects in stimulating popular regional democratization even beyond a fully and conclusively unified federal Israel. After all, the strategic importance of selective ethical emulation of successful democratic models can hardly be overstated, including crucially among regional neighbors.
